── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

James Duckworth
Lorenzo Sonego
47%53%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
James Duckworth
59th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#109
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ James Duckworth■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
Grass0–2
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-24ChengduHardR32Lorenzo Sonego6-4 6-4
2026-08-27Winston-SalemHardR16James Duckworth7-5 6-3
2022-06-20EastbourneGrassR32Lorenzo Sonego4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(1)
2021-06-28WimbledonGrassR32Lorenzo Sonego6-3 6-4 6-4