── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
James Duckworth
Jannik Sinner
2%98%
Hard: 2% / 98%
Clay: 3% / 97%
Grass: 5% / 95%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
James Duckworth
57th · average
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#117
model rank
#1
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ James Duckworth■ Jannik Sinner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-09-27 | Sofia | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | James Duckworth | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-10-19 | Cologne 2 | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-2 |