── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Machac 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

James Duckworth
Tomas Machac
26%74%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
James Duckworth
57th · average
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Tomas Machac
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#117
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CZE
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

James DuckworthTomas Machac
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR32Tomas Machac6-3 6-3
2022-09-05Cassis CHHardSFJames Duckworth6-3 6-4
2021-02-01Murray River OpenHardR64James Duckworth6-3 6-4