── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marton Fucsovics
Daniil Medvedev
21%79%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marton Fucsovics■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–4
Grass0–1
Clay1–1
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Daniil Medvedev6-2 6-3
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Daniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonGrassR32Daniil Medvedev4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClayR128Marton Fucsovics6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-1
2019-02-04SofiaHardFDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2018-04-16Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Daniil Medvedev6-7(4) 6-2 7-5
2016-08-08Portoroz CHHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-2