── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marton Fucsovics
Daniil Medvedev
20%80%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marton Fucsovics■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–4
Grass0–1
Clay1–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Marton Fucsovics | 6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-1 |
| 2019-02-04 | Sofia | Hard | F | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2018-04-16 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(4) 6-2 7-5 |
| 2016-08-08 | Portoroz CH | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |