── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marton Fucsovics
Frances Tiafoe
24%76%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marton Fucsovics■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Marton Fucsovics | 3-6 6-1 7-5 |
| 2023-06-12 | Stuttgart | Grass | SF | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 7-6(11) |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-2 6-3 6-2 |
| 2020-01-06 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Marton Fucsovics | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2018-05-21 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Marton Fucsovics | 7-6(5) 6-4 |