── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Matteo Berrettini 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marton Fucsovics
Matteo Berrettini
39%61%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 23% / 77%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#40
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
ITA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marton Fucsovics■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Hard1–2
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Matteo Berrettini6-7(2) 7-5 6-1 6-2
2024-10-21ViennaHardR32Matteo Berrettini7-5 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonGrassR128Matteo Berrettini7-6(3) 6-2 3-6 6-1
2019-02-04SofiaHardSFMarton Fucsovics5-7 7-5 6-3
2018-03-12Irving CHHardSFMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-4