── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marton Fucsovics
Denis Shapovalov
41%59%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Return
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
HUN
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marton Fucsovics■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 6-4 6-0 |
| 2024-11-04 | Belgrade | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-7(6) 7-5 6-1 |
| 2023-06-12 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Marton Fucsovics | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-02-21 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Marton Fucsovics | 6-3 6-7(7) 6-1 7-6(3) |