── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marton Fucsovics
Matteo Arnaldi
48%52%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#54
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marton Fucsovics■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | Q2 | Marton Fucsovics | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(7) |
| 2023-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | R16 | Marton Fucsovics | 6-2 3-6 6-1 |