── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adrian Mannarino a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nikoloz Basilashvili
Adrian Mannarino
44%56%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#135
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GEO
country
FRA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–3
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardR128Adrian Mannarino6-3 2-2 RET
2024-09-09Rennes CHHardR16Adrian Mannarino7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersHardR64Adrian Mannarino6-2 6-4
2017-02-06SofiaHardR32Nikoloz Basilashvili7-6(7) 7-6(3)