── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bernard Tomic
73%27%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#105
model rank
#175
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
AUS
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 4-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | R16 | Bernard Tomic | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | Q2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2-6 7-5 7-5 |