── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Roberto Carballes Baena
63%37%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#105
model rank
#147
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Umag | Clay | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-07-24 | Tokyo Olympics | Hard | R64 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2018-06-25 | Antalya | Grass | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2015-04-06 | Napoli CH | Clay | R16 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-3 2-6 7-6(4) |