── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Elias Ymer
68%32%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Elias Ymer
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#135
model rank
#182
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
SWE
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 2-6 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | Hard | Q1 | Elias Ymer | 6-3 6-5 RET |
| 2022-02-14 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2018-06-18 | Halle | Grass | Q1 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-4 6-3 |