── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nikoloz Basilashvili
Andrey Rublev
22%78%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#105
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
RUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nikoloz BasilashviliAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Hard13
Grass11
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR16Andrey Rublev3-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2025-01-27MontpellierHardQFAndrey Rublev5-2 RET
2022-06-13HalleGrassR32Nikoloz Basilashvili7-6(1) 6-4
2021-06-14HalleGrassSFAndrey Rublev6-1 3-6 6-3
2020-02-10RotterdamHardR32Andrey Rublev6-2 6-3
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardR64Andrey Rublev6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2019-07-22HamburgClayFNikoloz Basilashvili7-5 4-6 6-3
2018-12-31DohaHardR16Nikoloz Basilashvili6-3 6-4