── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nikoloz Basilashvili
Lorenzo Sonego
46%54%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#105
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nikoloz BasilashviliLorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass01
Hard11
Clay01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR64Lorenzo Sonego6-1 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(4)
2021-09-27San DiegoHardR32Lorenzo Sonego6-3 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsHardR32Nikoloz Basilashvili6-4 3-6 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayR64Lorenzo Sonego6-3 6-1