── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
18%82%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#135
model rank
#21
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | SF | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-09-20 | Metz | Hard | R16 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0-6 6-4 7-6(4) |