── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Sho Shimabukuro
57%43%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#135
model rank
#154
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | Q2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 6-1 |