── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Sho Shimabukuro
59%41%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#105
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | Q2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 6-1 |