── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nikoloz Basilashvili
Brandon Nakashima
18%82%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#135
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Nikoloz Basilashvili7-6(5) 6-4
2025-05-13Bordeaux CHClayQFNikoloz Basilashvili6-2 6-7(4) 6-3