── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Brandon Nakashima
32%68%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#105
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-05-13 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | QF | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 |