── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Lorenzo Musetti
19%81%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#105
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
ITA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Grass2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | QF | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-06-06 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 7-5 6-3 |