── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Daniel Merida Aguilar
22%78%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#135
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GEO
country
ESP
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nikoloz Basilashvili■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |