── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Evans 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Federico Coria
Daniel Evans
42%58%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Daniel Evans
7th · poor
Return
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Daniel Evans
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#184
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
GBR
180cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Federico Coria■ Daniel Evans
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monza CH | Clay | R32 | Federico Coria | 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniel Evans | 6-2 6-0 |