── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marco Cecchinato 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Federico Coria
Marco Cecchinato
32%68%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Marco Cecchinato
30th · below avg
Return
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Marco Cecchinato
6th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#184
model rank
#151
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Federico Coria■ Marco Cecchinato
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay6–1
Hard0–1
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-04 | Bonn CH | Clay | R32 | Federico Coria | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-01-20 | Punta del Este CH | Clay | R16 | Federico Coria | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-06-17 | Sassuolo CH | Clay | QF | Federico Coria | 6-2 7-6(1) |
| 2023-02-06 | Cordoba | Clay | R16 | Federico Coria | 6-3 3-1 RET |
| 2022-10-10 | Rio De Janeiro CH | Clay | SF | Marco Cecchinato | 1-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2021-07-12 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Federico Coria | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q2 | Marco Cecchinato | 7-6(2) 6-2 |
| 2019-09-02 | Genova CH | Clay | R32 | Federico Coria | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-4 |