── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hugo Gaston 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Damir Dzumhur
Hugo Gaston
41%59%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Damir Dzumhur
6th · poor
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Damir Dzumhur
73th · strong
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#110
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BIH
country
FRA
175cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Damir Dzumhur■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Estoril | Clay | R32 | Hugo Gaston | 5-0 RET |
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Damir Dzumhur | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |