── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Damir Dzumhur 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Damir Dzumhur
Jacob Fearnley
59%41%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#134
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BIH
country
GBR
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Damir DzumhurJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Jacob Fearnley6-3 6-3
2025-11-02AthensHardR32Damir Dzumhur6-4 6-2