── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mattia Bellucci a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Damir Dzumhur
Mattia Bellucci
47%53%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#134
model rank
#123
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BIH
country
ITA
175cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Damir DzumhurMattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay21
Hard10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Damir Dzumhur6-2 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR128Damir Dzumhur7-6(7) 7-6(5)
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR128Damir Dzumhur4-6 6-4 6-2
2022-08-01Cordenons CHClayR16Mattia Bellucci6-2 6-1