── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Bernard Tomic a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Bernard Tomic
Facundo Bagnis
52%48%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
23th · below avg
Return
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#174
model rank
#179
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
ARG
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Bernard Tomic■ Facundo Bagnis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-11 | Barranquilla CH | Hard | R16 | Bernard Tomic | W/O |