── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Facundo Bagnis a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bernard Tomic
Facundo Bagnis
46%54%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
21th · below avg
Return
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#175
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
ARG
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Bernard TomicFacundo Bagnis
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-11Barranquilla CHHardR16Bernard TomicW/O