── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bernard Tomic
Nikoloz Basilashvili
27%73%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#175
model rank
#105
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GEO
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Bernard TomicNikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardQ1Nikoloz Basilashvili4-6 6-3 6-1
2025-09-22Jingshan CHHardR16Bernard Tomic6-1 6-0
2025-09-17ChengduHardQ2Nikoloz Basilashvili2-6 7-5 7-5