── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Bernard Tomic
Karen Khachanov
14%86%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Return
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#173
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
RUS
196cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Bernard Tomic■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-30Los CabosHardR16Bernard Tomic6-2 6-4