── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Bernard Tomic
Shintaro Mochizuki
49%51%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#175
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
JPN
196cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Bernard Tomic■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-06 | Jinan CH | Hard | QF | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-03-24 | Morelia CH | Hard | R32 | Bernard Tomic | 6-1 6-7(3) 6-4 |