── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes James Duckworth 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
James Duckworth
43%57%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#117
Grass
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ James Duckworth
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Brisbane 3 CH | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | R32 | Alex Bolt | 6-2 6-7(1) 7-6(5) |
| 2013-10-21 | Melbourne CH | Hard | R32 | James Duckworth | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2013-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | James Duckworth | 6-3 7-6(1) |
| 2012-12-10 | Hong Kong F2 | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 7-6(6) 7-5 |