── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Christopher Oconnell a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Christopher Oconnell
49%51%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#142
Grass
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
Clay0–1
Hard3–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | Q2 | Alex Bolt | 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2020-10-05 | Barcelona CH | Clay | R32 | Christopher Oconnell | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2016-02-29 | Australia F2 | Grass | R16 | Alex Bolt | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2015-10-19 | Australia F9 | Hard | QF | Christopher Oconnell | 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(7) |
| 2015-10-05 | Australia F7 | Hard | SF | Alex Bolt | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2014-11-03 | Traralgon2 CH | Hard | R32 | Alex Bolt | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2014-02-24 | Australia F2 | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 4-6 7-6(1) |