── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Bolt 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Billy Harris
68%32%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Billy Harris
13th · poor
Return
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Billy Harris
6th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#177
Grass
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
GBR
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Billy Harris
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 2-6 6-3 |