── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lloyd Harris 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Lloyd Harris
24%76%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
29th · below avg
Lloyd Harris
73th · strong
Return
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Lloyd Harris
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#172
model rank
#64
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
RSA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Lloyd Harris
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Lloyd Harris | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan Open CH | Hard | SF | Lloyd Harris | 5-7 7-6(2) RET |
| 2018-10-08 | Fairfield CH | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 6-4 |