── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adam Walton 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Adam Walton
35%65%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Adam Walton
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#90
Grass
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–4
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Jiujiang CH | Hard | SF | Adam Walton | 6-2 3-6 7-6(5) |
| 2024-09-24 | Nonthaburi 4 CH | Hard | R16 | Adam Walton | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Wuxi CH | Hard | R16 | Adam Walton | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-04-29 | Guangzhou CH | Hard | R16 | Adam Walton | 7-6(0) 6-1 |
| 2024-01-29 | Burnie CH | Hard | R16 | Alex Bolt | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-02-20 | M25 Santo Domingo | Hard | F | Alex Bolt | 4-6 6-1 7-6(5) |
| 2022-10-03 | M25 Cairns | Hard | SF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 5-7 6-4 |