── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Llamas Ruiz 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36%64%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
29th · below avg
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
31th · below avg
Return
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#172
model rank
#120
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | Q1 | Alex Bolt | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |