── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Eliot Spizzirri 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Eliot Spizzirri
25%75%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Eliot Spizzirri
73th · strong
Return
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Eliot Spizzirri
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#46
Grass
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Eliot Spizzirri
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | F | Eliot Spizzirri | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q2 | Alex Bolt | 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 |