── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Bolt
Mattia Bellucci
44%56%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#145
model rank
#123
Grass
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
AUS
country
ITA
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Bolt■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R32 | Alex Bolt | 6-3 6-0 |
| 2024-11-11 | Kobe CH | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-0 6-4 |