── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pierre Hugues Herbert a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taro Daniel
Pierre Hugues Herbert
47%53%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taro Daniel
10th · poor
Pierre Hugues Herbert
26th · below avg
Return
Taro Daniel
10th · poor
Pierre Hugues Herbert
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#160
model rank
#157
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
FRA
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taro DanielPierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-13Bordeaux CHClayR32Pierre Hugues Herbert7-6(5) 6-2
2024-05-13Bordeaux CHClayR32Taro Daniel7-6(5) 6-3