── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taro Daniel 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taro Daniel
Federico Coria
72%28%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taro Daniel
18th · poor
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Taro Daniel
22th · below avg
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#184
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
ARG
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taro Daniel■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Bastad | Clay | Q1 | Taro Daniel | 6-0 6-2 |
| 2019-09-02 | Genova CH | Clay | R16 | Taro Daniel | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2017-03-06 | Santiago CH | Clay | R32 | Taro Daniel | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |