── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taro Daniel
Jan Choinski
42%58%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taro Daniel
17th · poor
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Taro Daniel
21th · below avg
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
GBR
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taro Daniel■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City CH | Hard | R16 | Taro Daniel | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-01-01 | Hong Kong | Hard | Q2 | Taro Daniel | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |