── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taro Daniel
Jacob Fearnley
39%61%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taro Daniel
17th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Return
Taro Daniel
21th · below avg
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#91
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
GBR
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taro Daniel■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City CH | Hard | QF | Taro Daniel | 6-4 6-1 |