── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taro Daniel 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taro Daniel
Shintaro Mochizuki
59%41%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taro Daniel
17th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Taro Daniel
21th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
JPN
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taro Daniel■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 2-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-10-30 | Sydney CH | Hard | QF | Taro Daniel | 3-1 RET |