── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Zhizhen Zhang a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Zhizhen Zhang
48%52%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 23% / 77%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Zhizhen Zhang
42th · average
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#167
model rank
#163
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CHN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Roberto Carballes Baena■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–2
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Zhizhen Zhang6-4 6-4
2024-09-18HangzhouHardQFZhizhen Zhang6-3 6-3
2022-05-16Tunis CHClaySFRoberto Carballes Baena6-2 6-1