── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Zhizhen Zhang
52%48%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CHN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Carballes BaenaZhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard02
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Zhizhen Zhang6-4 6-4
2024-09-18HangzhouHardQFZhizhen Zhang6-3 6-3
2022-05-16Tunis CHClaySFRoberto Carballes Baena6-2 6-1