── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Ofner 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Sebastian Ofner
38%62%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Sebastian Ofner
65th · average
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Sebastian Ofner
17th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#110
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUT
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Carballes BaenaSebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-16Murcia CHClayQFRoberto Carballes Baena7-6(4) 2-6 6-1
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR128Sebastian Ofner6-3 0-0 RET
2024-01-08AucklandHardR16Roberto Carballes Baena7-5 6-3