── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrea Vavassori 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Andrea Vavassori
42%58%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Andrea Vavassori
47th · average
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Andrea Vavassori
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#120
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Carballes BaenaAndrea Vavassori
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardQ1Andrea Vavassori7-6(8) 6-4
2017-07-24Cortina CHClayR32Roberto Carballes Baena6-1 6-1