── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Carballes Baena
Alex Molcan
26%74%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#167
model rank
#69
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
SVK
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Carballes Baena■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | Q1 | Alex Molcan | 0-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Braunschweig CH | Clay | QF | Alex Molcan | 6-3 1-0 RET |
| 2022-07-25 | Umag | Clay | R16 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q1 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 7-5 6-4 |