── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
32%68%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Carballes BaenaCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Roberto Carballes Baena6-4 4-1 RET
2017-11-20Rio De Janeiro CHClayQ2Roberto Carballes Baena6-1 2-1 RET