── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Thiago Seyboth Wild
59%41%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 46% / 54%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Thiago Seyboth Wild
37th · below avg
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#170
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BRA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Carballes BaenaThiago Seyboth Wild
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-22Lisbon CHClayR32Roberto Carballes Baena6-3 6-2
2022-02-14Rio de JaneiroClayQ1Roberto Carballes Baena7-6(4) 7-6(3)