── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roberto Carballes Baena
Jesper De Jong
33%67%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#147
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roberto Carballes Baena■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Murcia CH | Clay | SF | Roberto Carballes Baena | 2-6 6-4 6-4 |