── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Shintaro Mochizuki
50%50%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#167
model rank
#166
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Roberto Carballes Baena■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardQ2Roberto Carballes Baena6-0 6-3