── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Carballes Baena 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roberto Carballes Baena
Shintaro Mochizuki
61%39%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#174
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roberto Carballes BaenaShintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardQ2Roberto Carballes Baena6-0 6-3