── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jason Kubler 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jason Kubler
Alex Bolt
59%41%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jason Kubler
47th · average
Alex Bolt
29th · below avg
Return
Jason Kubler
56th · average
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#143
model rank
#172
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jason Kubler■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | Sydney CH | Hard | QF | Jason Kubler | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2018-01-01 | Playford CH | Hard | QF | Jason Kubler | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2017-10-23 | Traralgon CH | Hard | F | Jason Kubler | 2-6 7-6(6) 7-6(3) |
| 2017-10-09 | Australia F7 | Hard | SF | Jason Kubler | 6-1 7-5 |